Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.066711 0.075231 0.083990 0.093638 0.103936 0.114572 0.126358
2025-05-11 0.051083 0.063489 0.076960 0.092531 0.109895 0.128538 0.149940
2025-05-18 0.042629 0.057498 0.074378 0.094627 0.117941 0.143657 0.173887
2025-05-25 0.036273 0.052716 0.072136 0.096171 0.124572 0.156571 0.194874
2025-06-01 0.029367 0.046259 0.067051 0.093605 0.125777 0.162757 0.207762
2025-06-08 0.023950 0.040937 0.062715 0.091362 0.126871 0.168413 0.219702
2025-06-15 0.021226 0.038809 0.062101 0.093445 0.132966 0.179805 0.238236
2025-06-22 0.018499 0.036323 0.060740 0.094353 0.137445 0.189148 0.254279
2025-06-29 0.017305 0.035895 0.062017 0.098577 0.146005 0.203409 0.276212
2025-07-06 0.015087 0.033648 0.060594 0.099097 0.149779 0.211769 0.291028
2025-07-13 0.015254 0.035145 0.064440 0.106675 0.162613 0.231332 0.319490
2025-07-20 0.012583 0.031712 0.061002 0.104229 0.162398 0.234665 0.328169
2025-07-27 0.011420 0.030828 0.061415 0.107323 0.169796 0.248017 0.349817
2025-08-03 0.009393 0.028148 0.058987 0.106398 0.171931 0.254867 0.363665
2025-08-10 0.008319 0.027068 0.058911 0.108735 0.178382 0.267195 0.384354
2025-08-17 0.007252 0.025816 0.058444 0.110427 0.183917 0.278342 0.403594
2025-08-24 0.005575 0.022921 0.055055 0.107634 0.183191 0.281321 0.412501
2025-08-31 0.004233 0.020400 0.052037 0.105191 0.182789 0.284607 0.421715
2025-09-07 0.003706 0.019738 0.052156 0.107460 0.188922 0.296419 0.441762
2025-09-14 0.003094 0.018685 0.051485 0.108450 0.193223 0.305820 0.458757
2025-09-21 0.002938 0.018896 0.053115 0.113047 0.202661 0.322046 0.484543
2025-09-28 0.002400 0.017797 0.052225 0.113613 0.206329 0.330624 0.500543
2025-10-05 0.002618 0.019187 0.056107 0.121843 0.221049 0.353977 0.535635